It is, however, at the local (= state) level that individuals view a much much direct and more intensely felt relationship with their government, even though in purely objective terms the vicissitudes of a state frugality may not be directly under the falsify of public officials, including (or especially) governors. Niemi, Stanley, and Vogel give the example of the effect of unfounded federal mandates that states are obliged to follow (938). However, they also cite "the perception of autonomous state-level effects," i.e., the perception that governors have political and governance autonomy that is directly comparable to presidential authority. The content of the relationship surrounded by voters and their elected officials plunder be considered the motive force female genital organ the analysis of state economic performance and impose status vis-?-vis voter behavior and election outcomes.
Governors are the most absolved embodiment of governance in their states, and whether the issue is the health of the economy on one hand or value initiatives on the other, a governor is likely to be associated with how the issue is undergo by voters. However, after reviewing literature on voting behavior related to economic performance Niemi, Stanley, and Vogel take the view that tax initiatives exert more force in popular imagination, or on
The study results appearing a significant correlation between an increased tax burden and a failure to reelect a governor associated with the increase. In gubernatorial races where reelection was not an option, the incumbent-party candidate in an open race was found to be less likely to be elected than the out-party candidate.
Indeed, in the 1986 gubernatorial races, economics as undergo at the practical, voter-household level, appears to have exerted a greater influence than ideology per se.
"pocketbook economics," hence on voter behavior (NSV 944). They find structuring a statistical model that includes such variables as the state of the local and national economies and whether and/or how many state taxes were raised, rundown the characteristics of voters (e.g., socioeconomic status, social demographics) and candidates.
The principal lesson to be drawn from looking for at the two articles is that statistical studies can be constructed from retroactive data and careful selection of variables for analysis. One does not have to be an expert in statistics to see that some attitudes can be measured mathematically, even though behavior is ordinarily thought of as a purely psychological activity. The amend political behavior and dynamics can be understood, the more likely it may be that the vagaries of insurance formation and responses to policy can be clarified.
Kone, S.L., & Winters, R.F. (1993, February). Taxes and voting: Electoral retribution in the American states. Journal of Politics, 55, 22-40.
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